It’s now a couple of weeks when the primaries and caucuses begin and what do all those polls numbers really mean? Indicated eligible voter affiliation nationally runs approximately as follows: 30% Democratic, 30% Republican, and 40% Independent. Such being the case, what is the meaning of a poll that relates a specific candidate has 30% favorable position in their party? That’s 30% of 30% or 9% of the eligible popular vote. And so it goes, 40% of the electorate don’t affiliate with either party for whatever reason. Back in the 19th century a similar situation occurred, resulting in the creation of a third party, the Populist Party. Buts that’s another post!
A smart candidate would start looking at the Independent voter and what are issues and values of concern to them. Even more important during these circus days is the forgotten down ticket positions like the Congress, Governors, Secretary of State, and the legislatures where 100s of millions of dollars are being spent by dark money front organizations and billionaire donors.
The Future Begins Today!
gileisner 1/21/2016
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Note: I’m going nuts! An hour after I drafted this post, Meet The Press Daily had a segment on the independent vote!
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